Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#188
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#214
Pace65.4#293
Improvement+0.7#151

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#177
First Shot-1.0#209
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#106
Layup/Dunks+3.3#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#333
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement+1.6#107

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#207
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#304
Layups/Dunks-3.0#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#63
Freethrows-1.4#267
Improvement-0.9#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four53.6% n/a n/a
First Round76.7% n/a n/a
Second Round1.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 137   @ Ohio L 75-85 27%     0 - 1 -5.2 -3.3 -1.3
  Nov 21, 2015 289   Youngstown St. W 104-101 3OT 82%     1 - 1 -8.2 -10.8 +1.6
  Nov 22, 2015 200   North Dakota W 73-60 64%     2 - 1 +7.7 +0.5 +7.3
  Nov 23, 2015 246   Bowling Green L 77-82 72%     2 - 2 -12.7 +0.6 -13.3
  Nov 27, 2015 37   @ Florida L 50-70 7%     2 - 3 -5.5 -12.7 +7.0
  Dec 02, 2015 16   @ Texas A&M L 65-75 4%     2 - 4 +8.7 +0.6 +8.4
  Dec 06, 2015 236   @ Florida International W 84-76 OT 50%     3 - 4 +6.4 +2.7 +3.0
  Dec 13, 2015 162   Massachusetts W 77-76 55%     4 - 4 -1.9 -0.5 -1.5
  Dec 19, 2015 95   South Dakota St. L 52-56 33%     4 - 5 -1.1 -19.7 +18.6
  Dec 22, 2015 161   Louisiana Tech L 63-66 55%     4 - 6 -5.8 -10.8 +4.9
  Dec 28, 2015 226   South Dakota L 81-89 OT 59%     4 - 7 -11.8 -10.8 +0.4
  Dec 31, 2015 250   La Salle W 86-77 74%     5 - 7 +0.7 +6.4 -6.1
  Jan 09, 2016 283   Stetson W 82-53 81%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +18.1 +1.7 +16.9
  Jan 14, 2016 223   NJIT W 82-78 OT 68%     7 - 7 2 - 0 -2.5 -1.1 -1.7
  Jan 16, 2016 321   South Carolina Upstate W 85-56 88%     8 - 7 3 - 0 +14.9 +11.6 +5.9
  Jan 21, 2016 258   @ Kennesaw St. W 79-74 56%     9 - 7 4 - 0 +1.8 +6.9 -4.9
  Jan 24, 2016 279   @ Lipscomb L 75-91 62%     9 - 8 4 - 1 -20.7 -2.4 -18.1
  Jan 27, 2016 273   Jacksonville L 69-78 79%     9 - 9 4 - 2 -19.1 -10.7 -8.2
  Jan 30, 2016 178   @ North Florida L 76-82 36%     9 - 10 4 - 3 -4.0 -1.4 -2.6
  Feb 01, 2016 273   Jacksonville L 80-83 71%     9 - 11 4 - 4 -10.2 +8.4 -18.7
  Feb 06, 2016 178   North Florida W 81-65 59%     10 - 11 5 - 4 +12.2 +5.9 +7.5
  Feb 11, 2016 321   @ South Carolina Upstate W 71-64 74%     11 - 11 6 - 4 -1.3 -8.2 +6.8
  Feb 13, 2016 223   @ NJIT L 59-68 46%     11 - 12 6 - 5 -9.6 -6.9 -3.8
  Feb 18, 2016 279   Lipscomb W 82-67 80%     12 - 12 7 - 5 +4.5 +3.6 +1.0
  Feb 20, 2016 258   Kennesaw St. W 68-63 76%     13 - 12 8 - 5 -4.0 -7.1 +3.3
  Feb 25, 2016 283   @ Stetson L 73-80 63%     13 - 13 8 - 6 -12.0 -3.8 -8.4
  Mar 01, 2016 258   Kennesaw St. W 74-64 76%     14 - 13 +1.0 +4.1 -2.0
  Mar 03, 2016 178   @ North Florida W 89-56 36%     15 - 13 +35.0 +18.3 +19.5
  Mar 06, 2016 283   Stetson W 80-78 OT 81%     16 - 13 -8.9 -5.0 -4.0
Projected Record 16.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 95.4% 95.4% 16.0 0.0 95.3 4.6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 95.4% 95.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 95.3 4.6 0.0%